Nuclear
Enrichment cascades, delivery systems, and the arithmetic of deterrence. IAEA reports decoded, not summarized.
March 2026
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Only 6 Bunker-Busters Left: The Two-Year Gap Nobody Is Discussing
The US dropped 14 of its approximately 20 bunker-busters on Iran's nuclear facilities. Boeing's replacement contract doesn't deliver until 2028. For two years, the world's deepest tunnels are untouchable.
The Fatwa Is Dead: Who Decides If Iran Goes Nuclear
Ali Khamenei's fatwa prohibiting nuclear weapons was tied to his life under Shia jurisprudence. He died February 28. Mojtaba Khamenei conspicuously omitted any mention in his first statement. The theological barrier is gone.
Every Country That Gave Up Nuclear Weapons Got Destroyed. Iran Noticed.
Libya surrendered its nuclear program in 2003. NATO destroyed it in 2011. Ukraine gave up the world's third-largest nuclear arsenal in 1994. Russia invaded in 2022. North Korea kept its weapons. Nobody has touched it. The lesson is not subtle.
15 Iranian Nuclear Scientists Are in Hiding. Nobody Knows Who They Work For Now.
The IDF named 9 scientists killed in June 2025 strikes. More died at the Minzadehei covert facility on March 3. CSIS identified 15 surviving scientists critical to Iran's nuclear reconstitution. They've disappeared. The people who could build the weapon may not be reachable by anyone.