Active theater

South Caucasus

Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, and the corridor politics that connect Russia to Iran and Turkey to Central Asia.

6 briefings·1h 2m total read time·Since Mar 2026
6 briefings

March 2026

6
Armenia's Ex-President Is Running for Office. He'll Probably Lose. That's the Point.
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Armenia's Ex-President Is Running for Office. He'll Probably Lose. That's the Point.

The Pashinyan-Kocharyan symbiosis is real. They pretend to be enemies while functionally maintaining each other's existence. The loser is the Armenian voter.

9 min read · Mar 26
Georgia Is Banning Its Opposition While 74% of Its People Want the EU

Georgia Is Banning Its Opposition While 74% of Its People Want the EU

Georgian Dream is asking its captured constitutional court to ban the three largest opposition parties. Seventy-four percent of Georgians want EU membership. The government is doing everything possible to ensure they never get it.

11 min read · Mar 26
Iran Hit Azerbaijan With Drones Built for Tel Aviv. Aliyev Called It Terrorism, Then Sent Humanitarian Aid.

Iran Hit Azerbaijan With Drones Built for Tel Aviv. Aliyev Called It Terrorism, Then Sent Humanitarian Aid.

Aliyev called it 'an act of terror,' declared Combat Readiness No. 1, then reopened the border three days later and sent 112 tonnes of humanitarian aid to Iran. The most calculated response of the war.

10 min read · Mar 26
Iran Has 25 Million Ethnic Azerbaijanis. The War Is Testing Their Loyalty.

Iran Has 25 Million Ethnic Azerbaijanis. The War Is Testing Their Loyalty.

Everyone is watching the Kurdish insurgency in Iran's west. Nobody is watching the 25 million ethnic Azerbaijanis in Iran's northwest. Tabriz is Iran's fourth-largest city. East Azerbaijan province shares a border with the country that just got bombed by Iran.

10 min read · Mar 26
Armenia's PM Insulted 120,000 War Refugees on Camera. It May Have Killed the Peace Treaty.

Armenia's PM Insulted 120,000 War Refugees on Camera. It May Have Killed the Peace Treaty.

Pashinyan called 120,000 displaced Karabakh Armenians 'you fleeing people,' to a war hero's daughter, in front of her child, on camera. Then denied it. Then got caught.

9 min read · Mar 26
Armenia's Constitutional Deadlock: The Treaty Nobody Can Sign
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Armenia's Constitutional Deadlock: The Treaty Nobody Can Sign

The peace treaty is ready. The constitutional amendment isn't. And the man who needs to deliver it just called 120,000 refugees 'you fleeing people' on camera.

13 min read · Mar 25

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